Ambassador Rambler

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Ambassador Rambler

Ambassador Rambler In The News

They Often Have A Point,Not Much Good Comes Out Of Heavy Political Unsteadiness

Diplomats and the chattering classes love Equilibrium. Equilibrium is good, instability is not.

They generally have a point. Not too much good comes out of heavy political unstableness. Unless it is the overthrow of a bad regime or tyrant, in which case it isn't unsteadiness but 'people power'.

But what is steadiness? Many things are stable till they are not. A house being eaten by termites looks fine and imposing until the instant it collapses.

Hard though it is to believe now, back in the early 1980s the West (above all of the Foreign Office itself) hailed post-Tito Yugoslavia as a "pillar of equilibrium in the Balkans". On my first diplomatic posting in Belgrade (1981-84) the paralysis and stupidity of Yugoslavia's convoluted 'socialist self-management' processes became ever more clear, to me at least. Yet the official policy line stayed. Yugoslavia was a "pillar of stability" and (as significantly) needed to be kept as such. The choice was inconceivable and should stay forcefully unthought.

As an Embassy Young Turk in these leaden pre-email, pre-fax days I disagreed about all this inconclusively with the then Ambassador and my other exasperated bosses, plus any person from London who might listen. They insisted that even if I was right and Yugoslavia faced difficult times, it would "muddle thru somehow".

That familiar formula got me thinking. What did it actually mean? Thus my very first FCO rant, in early 1984 : Yugoslavia and the 'Muddle Thru Somehow' Concept.

My basic point was this. The Muddle Thru Somehow (MTS) metaphor conveyed interesting expectations :

General notions of pragmatism ; a certain degree of homely confusion ; perhaps an absence of definite planning and control ("muddle") but at least a broad direction sense ("through" ; absence of extreme, surprising, violent or cataclysmic change.

I asserted, MTS as a concept sounded right only if it did not cover everything. To make claims that Europe had somehow muddled thru World War Two, or that Japan had 'muddled through' Hiroshima and Nagasaki, seemed to miss something rather serious about those events. In other words, if the FCO wanted to claim that an MTS situation pertained, it needed at least to think about whether some non-MTS events (for Yugoslavia another civil war or Soviet military intervention to hold up commie rule) could be trustworthy.

I so pointed to a significant likelihood of extreme non-MTS internal tensions escalating across Yugoslavia as the republican leaderships played the card of mass nationalism to steer attention from their amateurish corruption : Kosovo was a very likely flashpoint.

One has a strange sense of being perched on a sandcastle with the waters of commercial logic slowly but surely eroding the base.

These exchanges read rather well now, from my viewpoint. Yet it took some time for the final collapse to happen. Yugoslavia did Muddle Thru Somehow. Until it did not.

Thus the core diplomatic policy puzzle : over what timescale is success measured?

One of the metaphors I utilized to explain Bosnia's Problems to bemused Whitehall officers was the tall, steep sand-dune. You rush at the sand-dune and try to get to the top, but find yourself stuck. If only you had seen that strong tuft of grass over to the right before you made your dash! You might have reached that and attempted to tug yourself upwards. But any movement toward it or in any other direction makes you slide backwards.

From good if over-optimistic or maybe credulous inclinations you can finish up in a hopeless place, where no good move is available. This explains why the eurozone problem is so troublesome for our top policy-makers.

Eurozone leaders designed an ornate gondola for drifting affably round the sublime decay of Venice. They now find themselves swept by an unthinkable (or at a minimum unthought-of) current into horrible stormy seas.

The vessel is sinking! No life-jackets! The Greek can't swim! The German is hooting that everybody tighten their belts! The Frenchman blames capitalism! The odious Brits preferred their own tacky boat : they watch with ruthless entertainment from troubled but still (they suspect) controllable waters.

Basically, the eurozoners have authorized themselves to get far out of their depth. And they smugly refused to pack any safety kit.

A classic non-MTS situation. Civil servants and political leaders round Europe for many years have been brought up to think in comfortable MTS terms. The difficulty they face in adjusting their thinking or even grasping the true nature of the problem is intolerable.

This occurred in the FCO in the late 1980s as the Yugoslav house started seriously smouldering. Our then Ambassador in Belgrade wrote to London urging the case that things really were getting major. The reply?

It really doesn't matter that much if the Yugoslavs fall out English holiday-makers will just avoid Dubrovnik.

An MTS view that opened the way to many thousands of violent deaths, plus uncountable billions of Brit and global taxpayers' dollars thrown not extraordinarily successfully at the problem. Failing to foretell and plan for non-MTS is expensive,writes tagza.com.

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Ambassador Rambler

The division of Tahrir Square

The division of Tahrir Square

I wrote the article " revolution in the Middle East "(February 2011) that the events of February2011 inTunisia and Egypt (ie, overthrowing dictators Ben Ali and Hosni Mubarak), in fact, the beginning of the revolution, there were still signs only change (as inRussia February1917), due to the pro-imperialist dictatorship of the army remain in safety. In the same article that I wrote that this revolution will go further, and the ranks of the opposition, Of course, the division into "Bolshevik" and "Menshevik" wings will occur, and that radical Islamists were "Bolshevik" wing of the revolution, while "lay" of the opposition, liberal and "socialist" are "Menshevik" wing of the revolution, the commissioners (the fact that our "Marxist" they cooked in the juice of the middle class and in the latter can not understand and do not want to understand).

And this split has produced. Consider the article "The political groups denounced the violation of the agreement of the unit in Egypt," July 29, 2011 The author section sympathy for the "secular" wing of the belief that the Islamist revolution, as he claims, violated the "unity agreement" was signed by the political groups, and therefore slogans calling for the implementation of Sharia and Egypt to become an Islamic state, which were "peripheral the revolution "dominated the Tahrir Square on Friday, July 29, 2011.

What was "unity agreement"? What requests are "united front" it? What are the parts and movements were represented on that front?

The article says that their claims were rewarding the families of martyrs, the establishment of a minimum wage and maximum instead of the Attorney General, a timetable for the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces to hand over power to a civilian agency and end the military trials of civilians.

As we see, the claims are limited to partial reforms in the bourgeois system of age and do not provide for demolition this revolutionary system.

The unit "agreement" was signed by 33 organizations, most of them are "socialists", "Democrats "And" social democratic "of all kinds (in this article that I wrote that" the opposition ", which is far from the masses People in the Middle East, which is close to the neo-colonial elite, which allows the passage of the Eurocentric bias was constant until neck in commitments with the police military regimes, taking into account "the military dictatorship is better than the Islamists").

Of Article the author is not clear whether the Islamists have confirmed that "the unity agreement" or not (the Islamists in the list signatory to this agreement, as I see it).

The author designation of representatives of various political groups. From these citations, it appears that Muslim Brotherhood (inEgyptit is more moderate organization) do not violate the agreement, the agreement was violated by the radical Islamists - the Salafi (similar to radical Islamists in the North Caucasus, which are so-called "Wahhabis" by Russian media).

Strange, how the requirements of a particular "sect in society," have "dominatedTahrir Square" and "the silence of all others" (the author describes this event with exactly those words)? Maybe yes, because these claims were supported by the masses?

Really, what happened to slogans that were "peripheral" in February Squarein Tahrir has become dominant?

We will try to clarify.

Left the Russian newspaper "International Journal," the body "Marxist-Leninist" (opportunistic, in fact), the Most of the articles in translations from the Italian "Lotta communist" generally given little attention in the world "third" this spring due to events in the Middle East in the two numbers in a given line a lot of attention in the region and the "3rd World" by General (obviously, so no one can accuse the newspaper of the imperialist nations say only). The following figures was a new silence, there was nothing "3rd World" again, everything was in the old. But here we are interested in something else. In one of the articles concernedEgypt as "internationalist" Bulletin correct to note that the percentage of the masses, the proletariat has been involved in Egyptian Event in February inEgypt was negligible, and the participation of the masses of the body is to come. Of course, "International Journal" consider industrial workers, not the poor in large cities as proletariat, however, said the thought is right. In February of this year, the lowest masses inEgypt part in the fight and follow the leadership of the petty bourgeoisie. Today, however, the split in the movement is beginning to show the masses of the petty bourgeoisie of influence.

As I recall, in February (or March) this year in the web server "Rambler" was an article written by a liberal scribbler superficial where he praised the Middle East "revolutionary", as opposed to Islamic "terrorist" states that the former have become more "revolution" they have reached the "terrorism". Author makes no distinction between the current Islamic "terrorism" absolutely - all Islamic "Terrorists" have been associated with Al Qaeda (Although, for example, that the Islamic Republic "terrorists" like Al-Qaeda sentence for Taliban terror to person and even before September 11, 2001 in an attempt to bin Laden through the Sharia court). It is, in fact, the author praised the change of the sign, which gave nothing in itself, while covering the truly revolutionary movements in the mud. And that these movements truly revolutionary emerged at the forefront Eastrevolution ofMiddle today.

The demands of the "secular" opposition (Which are really the bourgeois intellectuals who tend to collaborate with the imperialists through the circumstances of his life, education, etc.) are limited to partial reforms in the context of the bourgeois era, as mentioned above. But what really means the application of Sharia and the Islamic state? It means that the request of the theocratic regime, the monarchy, the return to the Dark Age Media, the media and citizens their yes-men in the ranks of the "Marxist" scare the Philistines ("If they are Marxists, then I am not a Marxist," as Marx about it)?

No demand of Sharia and Islamic state requirement really means the departure of former radical bourgeois system, demand for the release the "3rd World" (which is predominantly Muslim) from the grip of neo-slavery is in reality the colonial oppression under the guise of "independence."

Indeed, in the article that discussed an appointment is not representative of the Jamaa Islamiya in: "It was not an agreement but the agreement was a trap made by the Islamists away from their initial requirements were manipulating the laity for the Military Council. defend their demands. "

The claim that "secular" opposition is a puppet of the police and military dictatorship (as "Socialist" 1917 of the provisional government were puppets inRussiaat landowners and capitalists) seems very credible.

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AboutLibyaandSyria say a few words. We see the division between Western countries (USA, Europe) and East (Russia, China) imperialist blocs. No wonder that politicians and the media focus more onLibya onEgypt that, although the population is ten times larger than ofEgyptroughly ofLibya: well course, concerns the fact thatLibyais very rich in oil.

In this quarrelRussiaposes as "peacemaker" between the Western invasion. But in reality, while the West tries to remove these spheres of influence fromRussiaandChinaunder the pretext of "defending democracy" Russiatries to keep them under the pretext of "defense of the legitimacy and stability."

Putin, who outraged the West "crusade" said hypocritically Eastregimes ofMiddle despotism, including Muammar Gaddafi, has its roots in the "mentality" of the Libyan people (although people of Libya rebelled against the despotism). The villain in the silence that Gaddafi armed Russia and the other dictators in the Middle East decades teeth (for example, about Saddam Hussain told the BBC Russian army him credit, do not expect a refund) - this is the root of tyranny, not "mentality."

Syria similar case. It was the Soviet sphere of influence, and today is the sphere of influence Russia and China. In early 1980, the Syrian regime has suppressed the uprising by Islamist force of Russian arms.

Russian capitalists were divided into two camps on the subject ofLibya. One of them (they are smarter) to understand that the Gaddafi regime are completely discredited the eyes of Libyans is necessary to search for contacts with the moderate wing of the opposition (the representatives of Russia and was opposed Libyans). The other (which are bitter), supporters of Gaddafi, for example, the former ambassador to blab inLibya Russian indignation inLibyatens thatRussiainvested billion (!) Dollars, and now risks losing everything.

This contradiction in the Kremlin's position is ridiculous, when the Syrian TV News is killed by the Assad regime is sometimes called "victims" sometimes "terrorists."

Two weeks ago Web Server "Rambler" said the Syrian insurgents burned the Russian flag becauseRussiasupports Asad regime (though discreet). We are happy proletariat conscious Russians to see that people around the world begin to understand that Russian imperialism is the same as Westerners predator.

5 August 2011

A. G.

About the Author

Fuel consumption by 61 AMC Rambler Ambassador Custom?

So I'm fixing a former ambassador (commanded '61) and before going any further, I wanted to ask if anyone knew what kind of Gas Mileage it receives. As the gas is expensive (and I the old Junker really cheap, so I'm not bleeding money here), I want to make sure I do something that can get along decently. Far as I know, is a period four or six cylinders. My dad is estimated to get the best of 25, but I want a more robust response. Maybe someone leads before? Thank you!

I had a 1964 Rambler Classic 660. But it was more than 35 years and gasoline was only 27 cents per gallon, so I was not worried about the mileage and make sure than ever. Your engine should be 196 cubic inch six cylinder. Fix it, because it is a piece of history, one of the best cars ever made. Lead for fun. fuel consumption, whatever. You do not want it to be a daily driver because it has no modern comfort, power brakes, speed control, power steering, so enjoy it for what it is. and have fun.

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